Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.237284 0.272991 0.311370 0.355583 0.405005 0.458437 0.520463
2026-02-01 0.177129 0.224742 0.280117 0.348825 0.431309 0.526641 0.644617
2026-02-08 0.135299 0.188447 0.254998 0.343372 0.456431 0.594915 0.775894
2026-02-15 0.104639 0.159431 0.233021 0.337075 0.478079 0.659914 0.909087
2026-02-22 0.085667 0.141865 0.222339 0.342705 0.514249 0.745486 1.075340
2026-03-01 0.068573 0.123326 0.206794 0.338531 0.535387 0.811820 1.220830
2026-03-08 0.056296 0.109527 0.195589 0.338317 0.560939 0.885170 1.380601
2026-03-15 0.045661 0.096096 0.182503 0.332836 0.577088 0.945213 1.524778
2026-03-22 0.040303 0.090797 0.181698 0.346356 0.623089 1.052028 1.743897
2026-03-29 0.035742 0.085995 0.180841 0.359280 0.668738 1.160913 1.972481
2026-04-05 0.030579 0.078840 0.174515 0.361635 0.696616 1.243292 2.164683
2026-04-12 0.025950 0.071749 0.167102 0.360840 0.718524 1.316890 2.346669
2026-04-19 0.021831 0.064937 0.159341 0.358734 0.738433 1.389470 2.533213
2026-04-26 0.018417 0.058955 0.152295 0.357046 0.758761 1.463946 2.727235
2026-05-03 0.015500 0.053454 0.145334 0.354542 0.777114 1.535946 2.921012
2026-05-10 0.012929 0.048144 0.137849 0.349886 0.790686 1.600088 3.104638
2026-05-17 0.011407 0.045420 0.135942 0.356803 0.827179 1.707064 3.367480
2026-05-24 0.009586 0.041207 0.129633 0.353142 0.842023 1.775283 3.565559
2026-05-31 0.008213 0.038002 0.125289 0.353314 0.864500 1.858657 3.794448
2026-06-07 0.006842 0.034304 0.118926 0.347861 0.874537 1.918875 3.984114
2026-06-14 0.006316 0.033569 0.120622 0.362040 0.927598 2.064284 4.336398
2026-06-21 0.005816 0.032769 0.121998 0.375546 0.980122 2.211255 4.697814
2026-06-28 0.005070 0.030679 0.119178 0.378045 1.008335 2.311735 4.976368